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          广东省人民政府首页  >  要闻动态  >  广东要闻

          刘明康:另一场金融危机难以避免

          来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年04月21日 07:04:45
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          (  中)(证)(网)(讯)(经)(纶)(国)(际)(经)(济)(研)(究)(院)(特)(聘)(杰)(出)(研)(究)(员)(刘)(明)(康)(11日)(在)(2014夏)(季)(达)(沃)(斯)(论)(坛)(上)(表)(示)(,世)(界)(的)(另)(一)(场)(金)(融)(危)(机)(恐)(怕)(难)(以)(避)(免)(,原)(因)(是)(还)(有)(很)(多)(不)(确)(定)(因)(素)(。
            刘)(明)(康)(认)(为)(,首)(先)(,国)(际)(货)(币)(体)(系)(依)(然)(有)(缺)(陷)(,很)(多)(国)(家)(依)(赖)(美)(元)(,陷)(入)(美)(元)(缺)(陷)(,不)(确)(定)(性)(和)(创)(新)(措)(施)(不)(相)(配)(。其)(次)(,美)(元)(利)(率)(上)(升)(会)(导)(致)(大)(量)(资)(本)(流)(出)(新)(兴)(市)(场)(。和)(上)(一)(轮)(金)(融)(危)(机)(相)(比)(,尽)(管)(性)(质)(和)(规)(模)(力)(量)(可)(能)(会)(有)(所)(不)(同)(,但)(在)(多)(重)(不)(确)(定)(因)(素)(影)(响)(下)(,世)(界)(还)(有)(可)(能)(面)(临)(另)(一)(场)(金)(融)(危)(机)(。
            文)(字)(实)(录)(:
            LutfeySiddiqi:好)(的)(,我)(们)(准)(备)(开)(始)(了)(,大)(家)(下)(午)(好)(!今)(天)(我)(们)(的)(问)(题)(是)(另)(一)(场)(全)(球)(金)(融)(危)(机)(是)(否)(难)(以)(避)(免)(。我)(们)(是)(不)(是)(在)(第)(二)(次)(金)(融)(崩)(盘)(之)(际)(,我)(们)(有)(没)(有)(再)(次)(爆)(发)(金)(融)(危)(机)(的)(祸)(根)(,我)(们)(有)(没)(有)(真)(正)(地)(健)(全)(了)(自)(己)(的)(体)(制)(,还)(是)(我)(们)(现)(在)(站)(在)(一)(个)(非)(常)(脆)(弱)(的)(断)(层)(线)(,我)(是)(LutfeySiddiqi,有)(幸)(担)(任)(今)(天)(的)(主)(持)(人)(,希)(望)(我)(们)(今)(天)(的)(辩)(论)(非)(常)(积)(极)(。我)(们)(有)(幸)(请)(到)(了)(多)(位)(非)(常)(优)(秀)(的)(嘉)(宾)(,而)(我)(们)(也)(非)(常)(荣)(幸)(有)(很)(多)(接)(触)(的)(听)(众)(,在)(座)(,就)(是)(在)(座)(的)(各)(位)(。我)(想)(了)(解)(我)(们)(的)(听)(众)(在)(听)(我)(们)(辩)(论)(之)(前)(对)(金)(融)(有)(什)(么)(样)(的)(看)(法)(。而)(你)(们)(都)(有)(表)(决)(投)(票)(的)(机)(器)(,问)(题)(是)(金)(融)(危)(机)(是)(否)(难)(以)(避)(免)(,我)(们)(可)(以)(先)(做)(一)(个)(表)(决)(。好)(的)(,看)(看)(结)(果)(,投)(票)(的)(结)(果)(一)(直)(在)(变)(化)(。有)(2/3的)(人)(表)(示)(另)(外)(一)(场)(全)(球)(金)(融)(危)(机)(难)(以)(避)(免)(,有)(1/3的)(人)(表)(示)(否)(定)(。我)(们)(可)(以)(看)(看)(辩)(论)(之)(后)(大)(家)(的)(意)(见)(会)(不)(会)(有)(所)(变)(化)(。首)(先)(用)(掌)(声)(欢)(迎)(我)(们)(的)(嘉)(宾)(。有)(刘)(明)(康)(先)(生)(,是)(金)(融)(国)(际)(研)(究)(院)(特)(聘)(的)(研)(究)(员)(,他)(曾)(经)(有)(很)(多)(学)(术)(的)(成)(就)(,曾)(经)(担)(任)(过)(中)(国)(人)(民)(银)(行)(的)(副)(行)(长)(。以)(前)(是)(金)(融)(稳)(定)(委)(员)(会)(的)(委)(员)(,和)(巴)(塞)(尔)(理)(事)(会)(的)(理)(事)(。RobWhitfield是)(西)(太)(平)(洋)(银)(行)(机)(构)(业)(务)(主)(管)(,朱)(悦)(女)(士)(是)(贝)(莱)(德)(集)(团)(中)(国)(股)(票)(投)(资)(主)(管)(,PaulSheard标)(普)(全)(球)(首)(席)(经)(济)(学)(家)(,也)(是)(全)(球)(经)(济)(研)(究)(部)(门)(的)(主)(管)(。首)(先)(请)(刘)(教)(授)(分)(享)(您)(的)(看)(法)(。
            刘)(明)(康)(:好)(的)(。我)(要)(给)(出)(一)(个)(肯)(定)(的)(答)(案)(,我)(们)(很)(难)(避)(免)(另)(外)(一)(场)(金)(融)(危)(机)(。我)(们)(仍)(然)(面)(临)(很)(多)(不)(确)(定)(性)(因)(素)(,第)(一)(,国)(际)(货)(币)(体)(系)(以)(及)(他)(所)(含)(有)(的)(不)(确)(定)(性)(,他)(还)(有)(很)(多)(缺)(陷)(和)(隐)(患)(,还)(没)(有)(很)(好)(的)(解)(决)(方)(案)(,还)(有)(很)(多)(国)(家)(高)(度)(依)(赖)(美)(元)(,他)(们)(陷)(入)(了)(美)(元)(陷)(阱)(,还)(有)(这)(些)(不)(确)(定)(性)(和)(相)(关)(的)(创)(新)(措)(施)(目)(前)(是)(不)(相)(配)(的)(。还)(有)(美)(国)(量)(化)(宽)(松)(政)(策)(的)(后)(果)(和)(影)(响)(还)(没)(有)(被)(彻)(底)(地)(了)(解)(。美)(国)(的)(利)(率)(上)(升)(会)(导)(致)(大)(量)(的)(资)(本)(流)(向)(流)(出)(新)(兴)(市)(场)(,还)(有)(欧)(洲)(市)(场)(。在)(多)(种)(不)(确)(定)(性)(因)(素)(的)(面)(前)(,我)(认)(为)(我)(们)(还)(很)(有)(可)(能)(会)(面)(对)(另)(一)(场)(金)(融)(危)(机)(,可)(能)(规)(模)(、时)(间)(、内)(容)(不)(一)(样)(,但)(无)(论)(怎)(么)(样)(我)(们)(都)(要)(记)(得)(人)(们)(的)(记)(忆)(非)(常)(地)(短)(。政)(府)(的)(监)(管)(一)(直)(落)(后)(于)(情)(况)(的)(发)(展)(速)(度)(。
          )


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